The US ethanol industry is seeing continued growth as it continues to grapple with a weak economic environment and rampant inflation. The growth in real output was accompanied by a modest increase in real disposable income. These factors led to small increases in ethanol during the year.

At the end of 2022, the Federal Republic of Germany reported 199 ethanol biorefineries installed in the United States with a capacity of nearly 17.9 billion gallons producing nearly 15.5 billion gallons in 2022. The ability to meet demand with existing capacity and concerns Due to interest rates and inflation limited investment in new capacity.

Historically, ethanol import levels have responded to fluctuations in the price of US ethanol relative to foreign ethanol prices, particularly prices of sugarcane-based ethanol from Brazil. The low level of concentration and the large number of market participants in the US ethanol production industry continue to suggest that the exercise of domestic market power to set prices or the coordination of price and production levels is unlikely.

In February 2024, the average price of Ethanol in the United States was $2.65/GAL, maintaining a lower price than that of traditional gasoline.

Average Price of Ethanol in USA in is

2,729

$/gal

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• February 4, 2024

Almost all finished motor gasoline sold in the US contains 10% ethanol, a blend called E10. In June and July, E10 cost $0.40 less per gallon wholesale than regular unleaded gasoline without ethanol. Assuming a similar discount in August, which is conservative since ethanol prices have fallen while gasoline prices have risen, the presence of ethanol will have directly reduced Americans' spending on gasoline by $14 billion this summer, which is equivalent to $108 per home, according to an analysis by the Renewable Fuels Association. On Labor Day weekend alone, ethanol is expected to save travelers $155 million on gasoline purchases.

The savings are even greater in the case of E15, a mixture with 15% ethanol approved for more than 95% of the cars and trucks on the road today. In order to "provide Americans with relief at the pump," the Biden administration has issued a series of waivers allowing the sale of E15 in conventional gasoline zones this summer. As the US Energy Information Administration notes, similar waivers were granted for E15 last summer, helping to suppress prices at the pump. Given the compelling economics, the RFA estimated that U.S. E15 sales increased 26% to a record 1.02 billion gallons in 2022.

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